Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.012130 0.014775 0.018111 0.022727 0.029120 0.037939 0.051567
2025-02-16 0.008881 0.011809 0.016010 0.022813 0.034292 0.054587 0.098405
2025-02-23 0.007186 0.010082 0.014591 0.022709 0.038550 0.072894 0.175427
2025-03-02 0.005942 0.008632 0.013056 0.021630 0.040261 0.087904 0.281186
2025-03-09 0.005149 0.007699 0.012089 0.021162 0.042918 0.108437 0.488414
2025-03-16 0.004667 0.007175 0.011689 0.021646 0.048147 0.144531 1.073703
2025-03-23 0.004238 0.006661 0.011183 0.021713 0.052417 0.186139 2.625246
2025-03-30 0.003789 0.006042 0.010350 0.020755 0.053103 0.214617 5.877764
2025-04-06 0.003458 0.005594 0.009778 0.020267 0.055153 0.258396 21.284364
2025-04-13 0.003263 0.005374 0.009636 0.020847 0.061649 0.359457 2200.349480
2025-04-20 0.003162 0.005320 0.009837 0.022439 0.073956 0.598088 NaN
2025-04-27 0.003035 0.005197 0.009859 0.023539 0.085641 0.983882 NaN
2025-05-04 0.002818 0.004892 0.009473 0.023482 0.093038 1.527829 NaN
2025-05-11 0.002632 0.004633 0.009164 0.023625 0.102813 2.711415 NaN
2025-05-18 0.002458 0.004378 0.008816 0.023519 0.111472 5.028534 NaN
2025-05-25 0.002262 0.004054 0.008240 0.022387 0.111238 7.188227 NaN
2025-06-01 0.002115 0.003821 0.007865 0.021897 0.116142 13.757635 NaN
2025-06-08 0.002021 0.003696 0.007752 0.022404 0.131814 65.538381 NaN
2025-06-15 0.001921 0.003546 0.007548 0.022474 0.144231 899.649365 NaN
2025-06-22 0.001796 0.003327 0.007124 0.021470 0.142934 17686.603896 NaN
2025-06-29 0.001697 0.003162 0.006830 0.020959 0.147467 NaN NaN
2025-07-06 0.001641 0.003089 0.006786 0.021567 0.169757 NaN NaN
2025-07-13 0.001617 0.003089 0.006947 0.023235 0.217853 NaN NaN